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Finland鈥檚 Remarkable First Year in NATO

Finnish flag flies at NATO HQ

April 4, 2024 marks not only the 75th anniversary of NATO as a whole but also the one year anniversary of Finland鈥檚 full membership in the Alliance. Finland applied to join NATO鈥揳longside its neighbor Sweden鈥搃n May 2022, less than 3 months after Russia鈥檚 brutal invasion of Ukraine, following an unprecedented groundswell of public support. This historic shift from a policy of military non-alignment with a credible national defense and strong bilateral defense cooperation鈥損rimarily with countries such as Sweden and the United States鈥搇ed Finland to become the 31st member of the NATO Alliance a short 11 months after applying. A net contributor to the defensive alliance, Finland is already contributing to NATO with its Arctic capabilities, resilience, and highly advanced military. It has been a remarkable first year for Finland in NATO; the country has weathered significant internal changes and external shocks. Despite these challenges, Finland is more secure now as a member of the NATO Alliance, and NATO is already benefiting from Finland鈥檚 membership.  

An Unforgettable Year for Finland

To say Finland has had an eventful year would be an understatement. Finland has been faced with several major challenges in its first year as a NATO Ally and has shown itself capable of responding to them individually and in concert with allies. A reportedly Chinese-owned vessel damaged a vital undersea gas connector between Estonia and Finland and two telecommunication cables. As the investigation continues, increased attention is being paid to the importance of securing undersea infrastructure, with NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg offering  and  a 鈥渦nited and determined response." Shortly after the Balticconnector pipeline was damaged, a surreptitious uptick in migrants arriving along its shared border with Russia, apparently encouraged by Russian authorities. Russia has  migrants in the past, notably during the Belarus-European Union Migrant Crisis in 2021. All border crossing points between Finland and Russia have been closed since late 2023 (except one railway crossing for cargo) and will  closed until at least mid-April. This border closure is reflective of the dramatic shift in the Finland-Russia relationship since Russia invaded Ukraine. 

Meanwhile, on the domestic front Finland has seen major changes in the last year, with a new Prime Minister leading one of the most conservative governing coalitions since the end of World War II. Finns also voted for a new President in February, with Alexander Stubb, a well-known public figure who has held multiple senior jobs including Prime Minister, emerging victorious. He replaced long-time President Sauli Niinist枚, who defined much of Finland鈥檚 foreign policy for more than a decade, steering the country through multiple crises from Russia鈥檚 invasion of Crimea in 2014 to the 2020 pandemic to Russia鈥檚 second invasion of Ukraine. Despite the changes in Finnish leadership, support for NATO and Ukraine remain largely unchanged, with multiple successive packages of aid for Ukraine released in the last year. Finland has  more than 鈧2.5 billion to support Ukraine over 22 aid  and remains the ninth largest contributor in aid as a percentage of GDP, according to the Kiel Institute鈥檚 tracker. To underscore Finland鈥檚 unwavering support for Ukraine, the day before its one year anniversary in NATO, Finnish President Stubb  in Kyiv a 23rd aid package of 鈧188 million and signed a 10-year agreement on security cooperation.  

Finland: From Partner to Ally

Finland has been a NATO partner since 1994. Since its status changed to a full ally last year, Finland is already showing itself to be a capable ally. NATO remains popular in Finland, with approximately 89% of the population  the Alliance. The Finnish government is hitting NATO鈥檚 2% benchmark of spending on defense and  hitting 2.3% in 2024, its contributions to Ukraine not included. Finland has one of the largest wartime strengths in NATO with 280,000 troops, and around 900,000 people out of a total population of 5.5 million have had military training. In historical terms, Finland has a fighter per capita ratio equivalent to . As a new ally, Finland participated in a series of firsts in the last year鈥搃ts first NATO Defense Ministers meeting, NATO Foreign Affairs Meeting, and its first NATO Summit. These are critical first steps into deepening Finland鈥檚 cooperation with NATO. 

Finland is already keen to showcase its capabilities and know-how. Hosted by the Nordic countries, Finland, Norway and Sweden, 20,000 soldiers began  as part of the Steadfast Defender series, NATO鈥檚 largest military exercise in decades. Finland participated in cyber defense with the United Kingdom, Norway, Sweden and the United States in Rovaniemi during Exercise Nordic Response 24. For the last year, Finland has emphasized the necessity for Sweden鈥檚 NATO accession to conclude. Finland鈥檚 full potential as a NATO Ally has yet to be realized due to the delay of its sister鈥揝weden鈥搃n joining the alliance. Sweden is Finland鈥檚 closest ally in security and defense policy, and together they dramatically reshape the Alliance approach to the high north and the Baltic Sea region.鈥 Finland has stepped up its participation in NATO鈥檚 Baltic Air Policing since joining NATO. Finland鈥檚 Air Force  the Arctic Challenge 2023 exercises, consisting of 150 aircraft. It was also  the Finnish navy and air force would participate in NATO peacetime missions, with Defense Minister H盲kk盲nen : 鈥淔inland鈥檚 participation in NATO鈥檚 collective peacetime missions and the organisation of NATO exercises in the territory of Finland, for example as part of Steadfast Defender 24, are concrete examples of what Finland鈥檚 membership in NATO means in practice.鈥

Finland has one of the largest wartime strengths in NATO with 280,000 troops, and around 900,000 people out of a total population of 5.5 million have had military training. In historical terms, Finland has a fighter per capita ratio equivalent to ancient Sparta. 

Much attention has been paid to how Finland鈥檚 NATO membership dramatically extends the Alliance鈥檚 border with Russia, a 1,340km (833 miles) border running primarily through rural and forested areas. Russian President Vladimir Putin has to deploy more Russian troops to northwest Russia along the border with Finland. In turn, Finland is reinforcing key bases in its north,  in Ivalo and Sodankyla. Finland鈥檚 NATO membership necessitates a dramatic change to the way NATO approaches its northern flank. Finland鈥檚 frontline  allows it a unique specialization of the Nordic countries in NATO. It offers geostrategic access for the Alliance to defend the Baltic Sea and Gulf of Bothnia, as well as brings the Alliance closer to critical Russian strongholds in the St. Petersburg and the Kola Peninsula. Now, with all of the Nordics in NATO, the Alliance has an opportunity to make its northern flank a lynchpin of its defense and deterrence from further Russian aggression.   

Although separate from the multilateral NATO alliance, it is worth highlighting another major milestone in the last year: Finland and the United States  a bilateral Defense Cooperation Agreement (DCA). This agreement will have profound implications for the alliance and to Finland鈥檚 broader defense and security. The DCA clarifies US troop, equipment, and base access, in the event Finland requests US or NATO support. Finland鈥檚  in 2021 to purchase 64 new F-35As to replace its aging F/A-18 fighters鈥損rior to its NATO membership鈥揻urther drives home Finland鈥檚 capabilities as an interoperable Ally with the United States and the Alliance as a whole. The first F-35a fighters are expected to arrive in 2026, with all 64 in the country by 2030. This will dramatically upgrade Finland鈥檚 air capabilities and enhance NATO interoperability. 

Finland at Year Two in NATO

What will year two in NATO look like for Finland? As a new member, Finland has been extraordinarily forward leaning and is quickly assimilating itself into Alliance structures, customs and formats. Finland has dramatically increased its  on nuclear deterrence in a remarkably short timespan. The ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine, now in its third year, will remain a grave security threat for NATO and Finland. As talks of Russia being able to reconstitute its armed forces within 2-5 years and its  to target Western bases supporting Ukraine, the next few years for Euro-Atlantic security are full of uncertainty.   

In terms of next steps in the Alliance, the question of whether Finland will host a NATO  remains unanswered. The current government of Finland  they were open to welcoming a specialized NATO center鈥搕here are 28 accredited today across the Alliance (2 are pending accreditation) that focus on various elements of security from energy to strategic communications. NATO鈥檚 Defence Innovation Accelerator for the North Atlantic (DIANA)  two new test centers and an accelerator in Espoo and Oulu. More announcements on additional centers coming to Finland will be expected in the years ahead, further enmeshing the Nordic country in the defensive alliance.

It was never a certainty that Finland would join NATO. Its historic decision to join the alliance reflects a deep concern over Russia鈥檚 aggressive actions against its neighbors. Finland鈥揳longside Sweden鈥揾ave extremely capable militaries that result in a safer, more secure Alliance. Finland鈥檚 membership in NATO is a boon for the United States and the alliance as a whole. Charting Finland鈥檚 evolution from partner to ally shows the profound impact Russia鈥檚 invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 has had on the security environment in Europe. Transatlantic security institutions, chiefly NATO, remain invaluable for a secure, stable, and prosperous Euro-Atlantic area. Finland鈥檚 historic decision to join NATO and its whole-hearted participation over the last year as a full member reflects the Alliance鈥檚 enduring purpose.  

Author

Global Europe Program

The Global Europe Program is focused on Europe鈥檚 capabilities, and how it engages on critical global issues. We investigate European approaches to critical global issues. We examine Europe鈥檚 relations with Russia and Eurasia, China and the Indo-Pacific, the Middle East and Africa. Our initiatives include 鈥淯kraine in Europe鈥濃攁n examination of what it will take to make Ukraine鈥檚 European future a reality. But we also examine the role of NATO, the European Union and the OSCE, Europe鈥檚 energy security, transatlantic trade disputes, and challenges to democracy. The Global Europe Program鈥檚 staff, scholars-in-residence, and Global Fellows participate in seminars, policy study groups, and international conferences to provide analytical recommendations to policy makers and the media.   Read more

Global Europe Program