As the presidential elections approach in Venezuela, the question of what will happen, depending on the outcome of the elections, is more latent than ever. [SPANISH]
As the presidential elections approach in Venezuela, between the candidate from the Coalition for Democratic Unity, Henrique Capriles and Hugo Ch谩vez, Venezuela鈥檚 president for the last 13 years, the question of what will happen, depending on the outcome of the elections, is more latent than ever.
A poll performed by Varianza, the most rigorous poll in the country, shows that Chavez is ahead of Capriles by two points. Cynthia J. Arson, director of the Latin American Program at the 乐鱼 体育, argues that if Chavez is defeated in the elections, supporters will not hand over power easily, 鈥渇irst, there are the declarations of some senior government officials that will never allow a government transition.鈥
Chavez still has a lot of support in the country despite the fact that violence in Venezuela has increased over the last years 鈥渙n the one hand his government has aided thousands of Venezuelans with social programs funded by the oil revenues, that鈥檚 a fundamental source for his support.鈥
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A medida que se acercan las elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela, entre el candidato de la mesa de la unidad democr谩tica, Henrique Capriles y Hugo Ch谩vez, el presidente del pa铆s durante los 煤ltimos 13 a帽os, la interrogante de qu茅 pasar谩, dependiendo del resultado de los comicios, est谩 m谩s latente que nunca. La encuesta Varianza, una de las m谩s confiables en Venezuela, ha mostrado que Ch谩vez est谩 dos puntos sobre Capriles, mientras que otras demuestran lo contrario.
Cynthia J. Arnson, directora del programa Latinoamericano del 乐鱼 体育, argumenta que si el mandatario Venezolano resulta ser el perdedor, sus partidarios no entregar谩n el poder f谩cilmente, 鈥減rimero las declaraciones de unos altos funcionarios del gobierno que nunca permitir铆an una transici贸n hacia otro tipo de gobierno鈥.
A pesar de los altos niveles de violencia en el pa铆s, el apoyo hacia el mandatario es alto, seg煤n Arnson 鈥減or un lado ha beneficiado a miles y miles de Venezolanos con los programas sociales financiados con la renta petrolera, eso es una parte muy importante de apoyo que tiene.鈥
乐鱼 体育鈥檚 prestigious Latin America Program provides non-partisan expertise to a broad community of decision makers in the United States and Latin America on critical policy issues facing the Hemisphere. The Program provides insightful and actionable research for policymakers, private sector leaders, journalists, and public intellectuals in the United States and Latin America. To bridge the gap between scholarship and policy action, it fosters new inquiry, sponsors high-level public and private meetings among multiple stakeholders, and explores policy options to improve outcomes for citizens throughout the Americas. Drawing on the 乐鱼 体育鈥檚 strength as the nation鈥檚 key non-partisan policy forum, the Program serves as a trusted source of analysis and a vital point of contact between the worlds of scholarship and action. Read more
