乐鱼体育

Professional Affiliation

Independent Election Analyst; Journalist

Expert Bio

Sergey Shpilkin is Russia鈥檚 leading independent election analyst, collecting, publishing and analyzing precinct-level election and other data on federal elections in Russia. He has developed a unique method to estimate ballot stuffing based on vote-turnout histograms, which allowed to provide first nationwide numerical estimates of electoral fraud. For his work he has received the prestigious PolitProsvet prize from the Liberal Mission Foundation and an 鈥淎dvocate of Free Elections鈥� medal from the Golos Association.

Major Publications

Academic publications:

• Dmitry Kobak, Sergey Shpilkin, and Maxim S. Pshenichnikov. 2012. 鈥�.鈥� Physics and Society [physics.soc-ph], last revised May 17, 2012.
• Dmitry Kobak, Sergey Shpilkin, and Maxim S. Pshenichnikov. 2016. Integer percentages as electoral falsification fingerprints. Annals of Applied Statistics 10 (1), 54-73, doi: 10.1214/16-AOAS904.
• Dmitry Kobak, Sergey Shpilkin, and Maxim S. Pshenichnikov. 2016. 鈥淪tatistical fingerprints of electoral fraud?鈥� Significance 13 (4), doi: 10.1111/j.1740-9713.2016.00936.x.

Publications in the general press (in Russian):

• Sergey Shpilkin, 鈥�.鈥� Troitskij Variant, October 27, 2009.
• 鈥溾�� Esquire Russia, December 1, 2011.
• Sergey Shpilkin, 鈥�.鈥� Gazeta.ru, December 10, 2011.